How simple forex trading algorithm systems can benefit you

July 6, 2009 - 5:33am | Articles | Investment industry |
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How simple forex trading algorithm systems can benefit you

The forex trading system algorithms comprises of sequential steps that make traders observe how the system manipulates, exits at stop loss, exits at profit and also to include entries. Generally these algorithms have to be coded into a computer so as to automate trade and also to implement the actual algorithm.

The forex trading system makes use of price smoothing algorithms and in this article we will focus on various price smoothing algorithms.

Price Smoothing

A trader would have to transform price data into trading signals and s/he should not that price data only can be very complex. Therefore it would be very difficult for a trader to decide what is important and not important due to a noise that is situated with the price data.

Price data constitutes of Noise which is a non-tradable component. If traders try to trade with it this may reduce their profits. Therefore the important solution would be for you to extract the noise from the signal. Hence this smooth the price so that the signal can be observed in one direction and this is often known as price smoothing. The situation can easily be defined as signal processing and they are some effective and advanced techniques used during this process. We will look in to the how the traditional approaches work.

Crude Approaches

There are two crude noise filters which are the moving average and the breakout also to include its variants.

A breakout often results during an exit or entry of a signal when it price exceeds the (e.g.) 23 high or fall below 23 on a day. The parameters that would have to be analyzed are the periods in which the price exceeds or be below the low or high.

A volatility filter is used to filter noise from the signal thereby the system will try to remove price volatility related to noise and predicts that the prices exceeds a certain level which is a true signal than compared to the noise.

We will describe the break out how it works in the algorithm as follows:

If trigger amount + price > high of n periods = buy
If trigger amount - price < low of n periods = sell

This is a common approach and you will also be able to get false breakout from it. Therefore this would mean that the signal would be distorted from noise coming from traders entering the market.

The other traditional approach is moving average. It’s simply an average of the last periods e.g. 23 periods. This will produce a result which is smoother that the original series although it would have been lagged by ½. A long number of periods would produce a smoother line which will have more lags to price action. Short number of periods will produce a less smooth line with more noise.

Moving average filters noise by reducing the noise value by averaging it. You should note that this is an average and therefore there is still some distortion but this can be severe only if you have very noise data and therefore you would have to make use of very long periods so as to lag it.

The algorithm for calculating moving average would be as follows:

The total number of periods divided by n = moving average, where n is an integer. For a complete trading system the moving average would have to be combined with rules so as to make it work effectively to remove noise from various signals.

Other variants exist which are used to filter noise from signals and these are median filters and the exponential moving averages. The exponential moving averages are similar to the usual type but it has got a different approach in calculating it. The median filters can also be used in a similar way as the normal moving averages and it removes noise from signal by excluding extreme values and it looks only for the middle value.

All these algorithms can simply be calculated using any common application such as Microsoft Excel.

When you have now understood clearly on how to calculate a forex trade market using algorithms then you will certainly be able to obtain profits. The process is not complex at all you need is to follow the procedures and you are set.

Inexperienced and beginning traders always want to replace the experience which they do not have with instinct. The reason is that they are too greedy and also do not feel satisfied with the money they gain. So, they seem to trade on the forex market which derived from their own feeling rather than logical forex market analysis. Sometimes this type of trader is overconfident with their own feeling until the forex market wiped off their money.

Simple algorithm formulas are more effective than complex ones due to the fact that they are stronger in order to cope with the volatility or constantly shifting market conditions. Here is another example of simple algorithm formula which traders can apply to make money on the forex market:

Buy a new 4 week high and hold it. Then, wait for a new 4 week low to strike and sell it. Always have open positions in the forex market and keep twist and turn those positions accordingly to each 4 week high or low when it is strike.

Thus, do not simply think that in order to win on the forex market and make much profits, you need to come out with a complicated algorithm formulas because it is not true. Simple algorithm formulas and systems do work always, before and now. The higher complicated forex systems you use, the higher unlikely it is to win due to lots of elements to break.

If you want an example of how complicated and advanced forex trading system will not help you to win and make lots of money in the forex market, then you should consider this:

Since 30 years ago, 95% of traders lost and the percentage remains the same today, regardless the bunch of high technology of forex trading systems are available on the market.

If you want to enjoy making money from forex trading success, then you should consider forgetting the advanced and the complexity algorithm formulas or systems and trade forex by keeping it simple yet strong.




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