Fundamental analysis on stock trading

June 10, 2009 - 8:51am | Articles | Markets |
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Fundamental analysis on stock trading

Fundamental traders base their trade on fundamental analysis and examine various events such as the stock splits, anticipated earnings reports and acquisitions. In this article we will look more into detail? about the fundamental trader’s events. 

 Fundamental Data 

 Several equity investors are concerned about the fundamental data that constitutes in the fundamental analysis: cash flow, earnings per share and revenue. Any figure that is found in the company’s balance sheet, cash flow statement and earnings report would be known as the quantitative factors. The factors may also include the financial ratios such as the debt to equity and return on equity. 

 Fundamental traders will then make use of these results so as to act upon a trade opportunity as it arises. Fundament traders focus on two of the most important factors which are the analyst upgrades and downgrades and the earnings announcements. With this information the fundamental traders will be able to gain an edge and this can also be difficult due to the fact that there are several millions looking for that edge too. 

 Earnings Announcements - Earning announcement is surrounded be an important situation which is the announcement phase. This is the moment when a company produces a statement whether it will exceed, meet or fail to meet the earnings expectation. Therefore a trader would want to trade after the company’s issue of statement so as to observe the long or short term momentum opportunity. 

 Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades - This presents a short term trading opportunity and this usually happens when a stock is downgraded by an unexpected prominent analyst. The price action will drop and this is the moment when a trader has to make use of this great opportunity. 

 Analyst ratings and earnings announcements are closely related to momentum trading and focuses on the unexpected events that cause the stock to move either down or up. A fundamental trader is often concerned with the gaining edge and in order to stay ahead in the market they would make use of various trading historical patterns which occur during the advent of acquisitions, takeovers, stock splits and reorganization. 

 Stock Splits 

 In order to trade effectively on stock splits a trade has got to identify a position at which the stock is trading at. It has also been proven that trading patterns occur after and before a split announcement i.e. price appreciation will indicate a short term buying opportunity and this will result in the pre-announcement phase whilst price depreciation will indicate a shorting opportunity and will result in a post–split announcement and post announcement depreciation. By having the ability to identify these phases a trader will be actually able to enter and exit a stock trade at least four times after and before a split. 

 Takeover, Acquisitions, and Reorganizations 

 The common sayings ‘sell on news’, ‘buy on rumor’ applies to trading on takeover, acquisitions and reorganizations. The main focus of a trader is to be always ahead from the rest therefore they would look more into the ‘sell on news’. The trader would hold on to his stock and sell it after announcement and therefore fundamental traders hold on to their position for a long period of time. 

 Once the announcement has been made a trader will have a different trading opportunity. The trader will definitely acquire the stock of a particular company right after the issue news and if the announcement is positive then the trade commences. Corporate reorganization can only be observed as positive if it was not expected by the market and also if the stock was on a long term slide caused by internal corporate troubles. 

 Takeover stock can be traded if the price per share is associated with it. Traders would often hold stock near the offer price so as to target narrow movements and gain profit. The speculative phase would give a beat trading opportunity for fundamental traders and rumored takeover will drive the actual price movement. 

 Fundamental traders try by all mean to identify a position and the price movements of stocks that occur during a given period. They are very good at executing trades and as a fundamental trader you will always be guaranteed of earning profits because it is a trade which has got very low risk.





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